RB · pick 38 — first ever running back at #38 (1988)

RB·pick 38

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #38

Tony Jeffery

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · TCU

1988

RBs drafted at #38 in NFL history

most recent: TreVeyon Henderson (NE, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1987, the model gave a running back at #38 a 11.7% chance in 1988.

Running back at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.8% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 1988 draft

#33DEDanny StubbsSF — GM John McVay
#34DEShawn PattersonGB — GM Tom Braatz
#35SAnthony NewmanLAR — GM John Shaw
#36OTJumbo ElliottNYG — GM George Young
#37CBTerry WilliamsNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#39DEPierce HoltSF — GM John McVay
#40RBThurman ThomasBUF — GM Bill Polian
#41LBKen Norton Jr.DAL — GM Tex Schramm
#42SJarvis WilliamsMIA — GM Don Shula
#43LBVincent BrownNE — GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2025TreVeyon HendersonNE — GM Eliot Wolf · Ohio St.
2018Ronald Jones IITB — GM Jason Licht · USC
2011Ryan WilliamsARI — GM Rod Graves · Virginia Tech
2001Anthony ThomasCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Michigan
1994Chuck LevyARI — GM Larry Wilson · Arizona
1990Harold GreenCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · South Carolina

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