RB · pick 30 — first ever running back at #30 (1972)

RB·pick 30

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Jim Bertelsen

Drafted by LAR · Texas

1972

RBs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: Jahvid Best (DET, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a running back at #30 a 16.8% chance in 1972.

Running back at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.8% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#25DTMike KadishMIA
#26RBBill ThomasDAL
#27OGReggie McKenzieBUF
#28SRalph McGillSF
#29STommy CasanovaCIN
#31LBWillie HallNO
#32LBMark ArnesonARI
#33OTKelvin KorverLV
#34STChester MarcolGB
#35RBRobert NewhouseDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2010Jahvid BestDET — GM Martin Mayhew · California
2006Joseph AddaiIND — GM Bill Polian · LSU
2004Kevin JonesDET — GM Matt Millen · Virginia Tech
1990Reggie CobbTB — GM Phil Krueger · Tennessee
1981Marion Barber Jr.NYJ — GM Jim Kensil · Minnesota
1978Johnny DavisTB · Alabama
1976Jimmy DuBoseTB · Florida
1973Greg PruittCLE · Oklahoma

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