RB · pick 251 — first ever running back at #251 (2002)

RB·pick 251

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #251

Jarrett Ferguson

Drafted by BUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Virginia Tech

2002

RBs drafted at #251 in NFL history

most recent: Isiah Pacheco (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a running back at #251 a 6.9% chance in 2002.

Running back at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 32.1% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#246CBSteve SmithJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#247STHayden EpsteinJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#248OGKyle KosierSF — GM Terry Donahue
#249WRRodney WrightBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#250TETracey WistromTB — GM Rich McKay
#252TEMatt MurphyDET — GM Matt Millen
#253WRDavid GivensNE — GM Bill Belichick
#254WRAaron LockettTB — GM Rich McKay
#255CZack QuacciaTB — GM Rich McKay
#256CBTeddy GainesSF — GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2022Isiah PachecoKC — GM Brett Veach · Rutgers
2018Justin JacksonLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Northwestern
2005Madison HedgecockLAR — GM Charley Armey · North Carolina

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