RB · pick 249 — first ever running back at #249 (2017)

RB·pick 249

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #249

Chris Carson

Drafted by SEA — GM John Schneider · Oklahoma St.

2017

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a running back at #249 a 10.7% chance in 2017.

Running back at #249, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 31.7% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#244DTTreyvon HesterLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#245CBJack TochoMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#246DTJordan CarrellDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#247WRMalachi DupreGB — GM Ted Thompson
#248LBKeion AdamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#250DEPat O'ConnorDET — GM Bob Quinn
#251TEMason SchreckCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#252RBMatthew DayesCLE — GM Sashi Brown
#253QBChad KellyDEN — GM John Elway

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart