Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 234

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #234

Spencer Nead

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · BYU

2003

2
RBs drafted at #234 in NFL history
most recent: Myles Gaskin (MIA, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a running back at #234 a 8.4% chance in 2003.

Running back at #234, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%29.4% 2003: 8.4%

Peak: 29.4% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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