RB · pick 230 — first ever running back at #230 (2013)

RB·pick 230

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Kerwynn Williams

Drafted by IND — GM Ryan Grigson · Utah St.

2013

RBs drafted at #230 in NFL history

most recent: Eli Heidenreich (PIT, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a running back at #230 a 10.0% chance in 2013.

Running back at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 29.1% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#225OGEric HermanNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#226DEMichael BuchananNE — GM Bill Belichick
#227OTGarrett GilkeyCLE — GM Mike Lombardi
#228RBJawan JamisonWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#229DTEverett DawkinsMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#231DETy PowellSEA — GM John Schneider
#232LBSam BarringtonGB — GM Ted Thompson
#233DEDavid BassLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#234QBZac DysertDEN — GM John Elway
#235LBSteve BeauharnaisNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2026Eli HeidenreichPIT · Navy
2015Marcus MurphyNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Missouri

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