RB · pick 228 — first ever running back at #228 (2004)

RB·pick 228

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #228

Casey Cramer

Drafted by TB — GM Bruce Allen · Dartmouth

2004

RBs drafted at #228 in NFL history

most recent: Brashard Smith (KC, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a running back at #228 a 8.7% chance in 2004.

Running back at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 28.9% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#223CBJacques ReevesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#224STDonnie JonesSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#225QBMatt MauckDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#226DTChristian FerraraSF — GM Terry Donahue
#227OGAdrien ClarkePHI — GM Andy Reid
#229STDavid KimballIND — GM Bill Polian
#230DTJared ClaussTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#231OTKevin SampsonKC — GM Carl Peterson
#232TEMichael GainesCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#233CBChristian MortonNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Brashard SmithKC — GM Brett Veach · SMU
2013Jawan JamisonWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Rutgers
2007DeShawn WynnGB — GM Ted Thompson · Florida

→ see this cell on the full chart