Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 227

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #227

Peyton Hillis

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Arkansas

2008

2
RBs drafted at #227 in NFL history
most recent: Kiero Small (SEA, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a running back at #227 a 9.1% chance in 2008.

Running back at #227, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%28.8% 2008: 9.1%

Peak: 28.8% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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