Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 226

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #226

David Williams

Drafted by DEN — GM John Elway · Arkansas

2018

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a running back at #226 a 12.8% chance in 2018.

Running back at #226, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%28.7% 2018: 12.8%

Peak: 28.7% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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