RB · pick 217 — first ever running back at #217 (2021)

RB·pick 217

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #217

Khalil Herbert

Drafted by CHI — GM Ryan Pace · Virginia Tech

2021

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2020, the model gave a running back at #217 a 11.0% chance in 2021.

Running back at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 28.1% · 2027 model: 7.9%

Surrounding picks · 2021 draft

#212SDamar HamlinBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#213CBRachad WildgooseBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#214OGCole Van LanenGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#215SBrady BreezeTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#216DTQuincy RochePIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#218QBSam EhlingerIND — GM Chris Ballard
#219WRSeth WilliamsDEN — GM George Paton
#220LBIsaiah McDuffieGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#221WRDazz NewsomeCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#222STThomas FletcherCAR — GM Scott Fitterer

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart