RB · pick 211 — first ever running back at #211 (2009)

RB·pick 211

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #211

Chris Ogbonnaya

Drafted by LAR — GM Billy Devaney · Texas

2009

RBs drafted at #211 in NFL history

most recent: Demetric Felton (CLE, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a running back at #211 a 9.8% chance in 2009.

Running back at #211, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.8% · 2027 model: 8.0%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

#206WRDominique EdisonTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#207DTMyron PryorNE — GM Bill Belichick
#208TEJohn PhillipsDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#209RBBernard ScottCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#210DTVance WalkerATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#212RBJavarris WilliamsKC — GM Scott Pioli
#213OGPaul FanaikaPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#214LBJ.D. FolsomMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#215RBFui VakapunaCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#216CBCaptain MunnerlynCAR — GM Marty Hurney

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2021Demetric FeltonCLE — GM Andrew Berry · UCLA
2019Rodney AndersonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Oklahoma
2016Kelvin TaylorSF — GM Trent Baalke · Florida
2014Jay ProschHOU — GM Rick Smith · Auburn

→ see this cell on the full chart