RB · pick 204 — first ever running back at #204 (1994)

RB·pick 204

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #204

Frank Harvey

Drafted by ARI — GM Larry Wilson · Georgia

1994

RBs drafted at #204 in NFL history

most recent: Travis Homer (SEA, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a running back at #204 a 11.2% chance in 1994.

Running back at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.3% · 2027 model: 8.0%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

#199QBSteve MatthewsKC — GM Carl Peterson
#200OGJim PyneTB — GM Phil Krueger
#201RBJamal AndersonATL — GM Ken Herock
#202TECarlester CrumplerSEA — GM Tom Flores
#203OTAndre HewittCLE — GM Bill Belichick
#205SDennis CollierCHI — GM Rod Graves
#206RBMark MontgomeryPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#207LBZane BeehnLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#208QBGlenn FoleyNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg
#209RBBrice AbramsPIT — GM Tom Donahoe

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2019Travis HomerSEA — GM John Schneider · Miami (FL)
2018Trenton CannonNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · Virginia St.
2014Tyler GaffneyCAR — GM Dave Gettleman · Stanford
2013Braden WilsonKC — GM John Dorsey · Kansas St.
2008Lex HilliardMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Montana
2002Brian AllenIND — GM Bill Polian · Stanford

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