RB · pick 199 — first ever running back at #199 (2002)

RB·pick 199

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #199

Adrian Peterson

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Georgia Southern

2002

RBs drafted at #199 in NFL history

most recent: Theo Riddick (DET, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a running back at #199 a 7.9% chance in 2002.

Running back at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.1% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#194STCraig JarrettSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#195CBLamont BrightfulBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#196TEJohn GilmoreNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#197RBLarry NedLV — GM Al Davis era
#198LBTyreo HarrisonPHI — GM Andy Reid
#200OGMike HoughtonGB — GM Mike Sherman
#201TEMark AnelliSF — GM Terry Donahue
#202WRLee MaysPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#203WRJamin ElliottCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#204RBBrian AllenIND — GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2013Theo RiddickDET — GM Martin Mayhew · Notre Dame

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