RB · pick 197 — first ever running back at #197 (2002)

RB·pick 197

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #197

Larry Ned

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis era · San Diego St.

2002

RBs drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: Danny Vitale (TB, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a running back at #197 a 7.9% chance in 2002.

Running back at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.0% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#192OTReggie ColemanWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#193DEJohn StamperTB — GM Rich McKay
#194STCraig JarrettSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#195CBLamont BrightfulBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#196TEJohn GilmoreNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#198LBTyreo HarrisonPHI — GM Andy Reid
#199RBAdrian PetersonCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#200OGMike HoughtonGB — GM Mike Sherman
#201TEMark AnelliSF — GM Terry Donahue
#202WRLee MaysPIT — GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2016Danny VitaleTB — GM Jason Licht · Northwestern

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