RB · pick 195 — first ever running back at #195 (1977)

RB·pick 195

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Kevin Long

Drafted by NYJ · South Carolina

1977

RBs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: James Davis (CLE, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #195 a 16.1% chance in 1977.

Running back at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.9% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#190WRRich MartiniLV
#191DTDave StallsDAL
#192WRSmith, KenKen SmithNE
#193OTBlanchard CarterIND
#194TEJim CorbettCIN
#196QBRandy HedbergTB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2009James DavisCLE — GM George Kokinis · Clemson
2007Deon AndersonDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Connecticut
2006J.D. RunnelsCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Oklahoma
1999Lamarr GlennTB — GM Rich McKay · Florida St.
1996Marrio GrierNE — GM Bill Parcells · Chattanooga
1995Dino PhilyawNE — GM Bill Parcells · Oregon
1979Mike WilliamsKC · New Mexico
1978John Henry WhiteKC · Louisiana Tech

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