RB · pick 183 — first ever running back at #183 (1977)

RB·pick 183

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #183

Jim Van Wagner

Drafted by SF · Michigan Tech

1977

RBs drafted at #183 in NFL history

most recent: Kevin Harris (NE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #183 a 15.9% chance in 1977.

Running back at #183, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.3% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#177SChris GolubKC
#178TEAl DixonNYG
#179LBBlack, TimTim BlackDET
#180LBBruce HerronMIA
#182WRGerald ButlerCHI
#184TEBlane SmithCLE
#185STLarry SwiderDEN
#186DTFrisch, RandyRandy FrischPIT
#187CBLouis BreedenCIN
#188OTBob LingenfelterCLE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2022Kevin HarrisNE — GM Bill Belichick · South Carolina
2011Jordan TodmanLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Connecticut
1998Dustin JohnsonNYJ — GM Bill Parcells · BYU
1996Tim HallLV — GM Al Davis era · Robert Morris
1989Marion ButtsLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer · Florida St.
1987Bo JacksonLV — GM Al Davis · Auburn
1978Steve PowellBUF · Northeast Missouri State

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