Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 177

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #177

Beaird, SteveSteve Beaird

Drafted by ARI · Baylor

1975

5
RBs drafted at #177 in NFL history
most recent: Evan Royster (WAS, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a running back at #177 a 12.8% chance in 1975.

Running back at #177, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%26.0% 1975: 12.8%

Peak: 26.0% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart