Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 172

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #172

Joe Hayes

Drafted by PHI — GM Jim Murray · Central Oklahoma

1984

8
RBs drafted at #172 in NFL history
most recent: Eric Gray (NYG, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a running back at #172 a 14.9% chance in 1984.

Running back at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%25.8% 1984: 14.9%

Peak: 25.8% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart