Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 168

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #168

Brown, JoshJosh Brown

Drafted by MIN · Southwest Texas State

1973

4
RBs drafted at #168 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Burton (DET, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a running back at #168 a 12.6% chance in 1973.

Running back at #168, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%25.7% 1973: 12.6%

Peak: 25.7% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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