Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 167

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #167

Herrera, AndreAndre Herrera

Drafted by KC · Southern Illinois

1977

6
RBs drafted at #167 in NFL history
most recent: Keilan Robinson (JAX, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a running back at #167 a 15.6% chance in 1977.

Running back at #167, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%25.6% 1977: 15.6%

Peak: 25.6% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart