RB · pick 16 — first ever running back at #16 (1968)

RB·pick 16

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #16

Mike Hull

Drafted by CHI · USC

1968

RBs drafted at #16 in NFL history

most recent: William Green (CLE, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 30.3% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

#11QBGreg LandryDET
#12SJim SmithWAS
#13RBMacArthur LaneARI
#14LBTim RossovichPHI
#15CForrest BlueSF
#17RBLee WhiteNYJ
#18CBJim HillLAC
#19OGMo MoormanKC
#20WRDennis HomanDAL
#21DEMarvin UpshawCLE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2002William GreenCLE — GM Butch Davis · Boston Col.
1986Ronnie HarmonBUF — GM Bill Polian · Iowa
1979Ted BrownMIN · NC State
1976Lawrence GainesDET · Wyoming
1974Woody GreenKC · Arizona State

→ see this cell on the full chart