RB · pick 158 — first ever running back at #158 (1967)

RB·pick 158

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Steward Williams

Drafted by GB · Bowling Green

1967 · earliest year in the data window

RBs drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Green (BAL, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.3% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#153DEBob HughesPHI
#154DERon MedlenNE
#155QBRick EgloffLV
#156RBNoland SmithKC
#157WRSims StokesDAL
#159LBBo WoodNO
#160OGGary HertzogNO
#161OTBob ZiolkowskiGB
#162QBCorey ColehourATL
#163RBLarry SeipleMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2005Justin GreenBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Montana
1991Leroy ThompsonPIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Penn St.
1979Eddie HicksNYG · East Carolina
1974Harvey, JohnJohn HarveyLAR · Texas–Arlington
1972Steve ConleyCIN · Kansas

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