RB · pick 156 — first ever running back at #156 (1967)

RB·pick 156

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #156

Noland Smith

Drafted by KC · Tennessee State

1967 · earliest year in the data window

RBs drafted at #156 in NFL history

most recent: Jerome Ford (CLE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #156, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.2% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#151SMartine BercherATL
#152DEJohn DemarieCLE
#153DEBob HughesPHI
#154DERon MedlenNE
#155QBRick EgloffLV
#157WRSims StokesDAL
#158RBSteward WilliamsGB
#159LBBo WoodNO
#160OGGary HertzogNO
#161OTBob ZiolkowskiGB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

2022Jerome FordCLE — GM Andrew Berry · Cincinnati
2017Brian HillATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Wyoming
2016Jonathan WilliamsBUF — GM Doug Whaley · Arkansas
2004Mike KarneyNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Arizona St.
2000Sammy MorrisBUF — GM John Butler · Texas Tech
1989Doug LloydLV — GM Al Davis · North Dakota St.
1988George CooperMIA — GM Don Shula · Ohio St.
1977Art BestLAR · Kent State
1976Bates, LarryLarry BatesSEA · Miami (FL)

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