RB · pick 153 — first ever running back at #153 (1988)

RB·pick 153

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Melvin Bratton

Drafted by MIA — GM Don Shula · Miami (FL)

1988

RBs drafted at #153 in NFL history

most recent: Wendell Smallwood (PHI, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1987, the model gave a running back at #153 a 13.3% chance in 1988.

Running back at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.1% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1988 draft

#148OGJon PhillipsARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#149QBDon McPhersonPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#150LBDan MurrayBUF — GM Bill Polian
#151QBScott SeculesDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#152LBCedric FigaroLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#154TESteve JohnsonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#155RBWarren WilliamsPIT — GM Dick Haley
#156RBGeorge CooperMIA — GM Don Shula
#157LBKurt CrainTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#158DTRoy HartSEA — GM Mike McCormack

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Wendell SmallwoodPHI — GM Howie Roseman · West Virginia
1998Chris HowardDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Michigan

→ see this cell on the full chart