RB · pick 138 — first ever running back at #138 (1976)

RB·pick 138

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #138

Willie Shelby

Drafted by CIN · Alabama

1976

RBs drafted at #138 in NFL history

most recent: David Cobb (TEN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a running back at #138 a 15.8% chance in 1976.

Running back at #138, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.7% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#132RBAundra ThompsonGB
#133SSteve WagnerMIN
#134LBSanders ShiverIND
#135DTGreg JohnsonPHI
#137DTWillie LeeKC
#139RBLonnie PerrinDEN
#140CBTony LeonardSF
#141RBWayne MorrisARI
#142TEFred ColemanBUF
#143QBMike KirklandIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2015David CobbTEN — GM Ruston Webster · Minnesota
2014Lorenzo TaliaferroBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Coastal Carolina
1997Kenny BynumLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · South Carolina St.
1981Tommy VigoritoMIA — GM Don Shula · Virginia

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