RB · pick 12 — first ever running back at #12 (1973)

RB·pick 12

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #12

Chuck Foreman

Drafted by MIN · Miami (FL)

1973

RBs drafted at #12 in NFL history

most recent: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a running back at #12 a 19.8% chance in 1973.

Running back at #12, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 33.8% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#7TEPaul SeymourBUF
#8DEWally ChambersCHI
#9RBOtis ArmstrongDEN
#10DTJoe EhrmannIND
#11RBSam CunninghamNE
#13SBurgess OwensNYJ
#14RBGeorge AmundsonTEN
#15WRIsaac CurtisCIN
#16WRSteve HoldenCLE
#17DEErnie PriceDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

2023Jahmyr GibbsDET — GM Brad Holmes · Alabama
2010Ryan MathewsLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Fresno St.
2009Knowshon MorenoDEN — GM Brian Xanders · Georgia
2007Marshawn LynchBUF — GM Marv Levy · California
1997Warrick DunnTB — GM Rich McKay · Florida St.
1982Walter AbercrombiePIT — GM Dick Haley · Baylor
1981Randy McMillanIND — GM Dick Szymanski · Pittsburgh
1979Charles AlexanderCIN · LSU
1974Barty SmithGB · Richmond

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