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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 109

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #109

Dave Lewis

Drafted by NYG · Stanford

1967 · earliest year in the data window

8
RBs drafted at #109 in NFL history
most recent: Marion Barber III (DAL, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #109, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.3%

Peak: 24.3% · 2027 model: 7.6%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart