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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 103

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #103

Amos Lawrence

Drafted by LAC — GM Steve Ortmayer · North Carolina

1981

10
RBs drafted at #103 in NFL history
most recent: Devonta Freeman (ATL, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a running back at #103 a 14.3% chance in 1981.

Running back at #103, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.2% 1981: 14.3%

Peak: 24.2% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

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