Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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RB·pick 10

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #10

Marcus Allen

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis · USC

1982

4
RBs drafted at #10 in NFL history
most recent: Todd Gurley (LAR, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a running back at #10 a 13.6% chance in 1982.

Running back at #10, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%35.8% 1982: 13.6%

Peak: 35.8% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart