QB · pick 98 — first ever quarterback at #98 (1981)

QB·pick 98

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #98

Mark Herrmann

Drafted by DEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff · Purdue

1981

QBs drafted at #98 in NFL history

most recent: Matt Barkley (PHI, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a quarterback at #98 a 5.4% chance in 1981.

Quarterback at #98, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#93LBGuy FrazierCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#94TETim SherwinIND — GM Dick Szymanski
#95STodd BellCHI — GM Jim Finks
#96QBBrad WrightMIA — GM Don Shula
#97WRRon WashingtonKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#99WRTracy PorterDET — GM Russ Thomas
#100WRRobbie MartinPIT — GM Dick Haley
#101CBJohn SwainMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#102LBDon BlackmonNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#103RBAmos LawrenceLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2013Matt BarkleyPHI — GM Howie Roseman · USC
1987Rich GannonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan · Delaware

→ see this cell on the full chart