QB · pick 84 — first ever quarterback at #84 (1982)

QB·pick 84

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #84

Mike Pagel

Drafted by IND — GM Ernie Accorsi · Arizona St.

1982

QBs drafted at #84 in NFL history

most recent: Eric Zeier (CLE, 1995)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a quarterback at #84 a 5.0% chance in 1982.

Quarterback at #84, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

#79RBDwayne CrutchfieldNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#80CBPaul LankfordMIA — GM Don Shula
#81LBJim EliopulosDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#82TERodney HolmanCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#83DEJohn CannonTB — GM Phil Krueger
#85DEGeorge CrumpNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#86STMorten AndersenNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#87RBDwight WalkerCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#88LBJeff GaylordLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#89WRDennis GentryCHI — GM Jim Finks

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

1995Eric ZeierCLE — GM Bill Belichick · Georgia
1991Scott ZolakNE — GM Sam Jankovich · Maryland
1990Troy TaylorNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · California

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