Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 83

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #83

Jay Schroeder

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · UCLA

1984

2
QBs drafted at #83 in NFL history
most recent: Erik Wilhelm (CIN, 1989)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #83 a 3.9% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #83, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.6% 1984: 3.9%

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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