QB · pick 82 — first ever quarterback at #82 (1979)

QB·pick 82

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #82

Joe Montana

Drafted by SF · Notre Dame

1979

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a quarterback at #82 a 5.5% chance in 1979.

Quarterback at #82, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#77DEBruce RadfordDEN
#78DELewis, ReginaldReginald LewisTB
#79RBWilliam AndrewsATL
#80RBRick BernsTB
#81CMike WellmanLAR
#83DEKen JohnsonBUF
#84DTJames WhiteCIN
#85LBFrank ManumaleugaKC
#86RBRussell DavisPIT
#87SJeff NixonBUF

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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