QB · pick 81 — first ever quarterback at #81 (2002)

QB·pick 81

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #81

Josh McCown

Drafted by ARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Sam Houston St.

2002

QBs drafted at #81 in NFL history

most recent: Charlie Whitehurst (LAC, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #81 a 3.6% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #81, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#76CMelvin FowlerCLE — GM Butch Davis
#77LBRocky CalmusTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#78OTJeff HatchNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#79CBRashad BaumanWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#80LBWill OverstreetATL — GM Harold Richardson
#82LBJames AllenNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#83DTCharles HillHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#84RBLamar GordonLAR — GM Charley Armey
#85CBKris RichardSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#86WRMarquis WalkerTB — GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2006Charlie WhitehurstLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Clemson

→ see this cell on the full chart