QB · pick 8 — first ever quarterback at #8 (2011)

QB·pick 8

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #8

Jake Locker

Drafted by TEN — GM Ruston Webster · Washington

2011

QBs drafted at #8 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Penix (ATL, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a quarterback at #8 a 8.0% chance in 2011.

Quarterback at #8, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.8% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#3DTMarcell DareusBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#4WRA.J. GreenCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#5CBPatrick PetersonARI — GM Rod Graves
#6WRJulio JonesATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#7DEAldon SmithSF — GM Trent Baalke
#9OTTyron SmithDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#10QBBlaine GabbertJAX — GM Gene Smith
#11DEJ.J. WattHOU — GM Rick Smith
#12QBChristian PonderMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#13DTNick FairleyDET — GM Martin Mayhew

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Michael PenixATL — GM Terry Fontenot · Washington
2012Ryan TannehillMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Texas A&M

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