QB · pick 78 — first ever quarterback at #78 (1971)

QB·pick 78

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Karl Douglas

Drafted by IND · Texas A&I

1971

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a quarterback at #78 a 3.9% chance in 1971.

Quarterback at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#73CWarren KoegelLV
#74LBDale FarleyMIA
#75CWillie ParkerSF
#76WRHackett, EddieEddie HackettMIN
#77DTBill GregoryDAL
#79DELyle AlzadoDEN
#80TECarter, JoeJoe CarterDAL
#81OTLarron JacksonTEN
#82RBCarlos BellNO
#83STHappy FellerPHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart