QB · pick 7 — first ever quarterback at #7 (1979)

QB·pick 7

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #7

Phil Simms

Drafted by NYG · Morehead State

1979

QBs drafted at #7 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Allen (BUF, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a quarterback at #7 a 5.6% chance in 1979.

Quarterback at #7, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.6% · 2027 model: 13.9%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#2DEMike BellKC
#3QBJack ThompsonCIN
#4DTDan HamptonCHI
#5WRJerry ButlerBUF
#6LBBarry KraussIND
#8RBOttis AndersonARI
#9DEAl HarrisCHI
#10OTKeith DorneyDET
#11STRussell ErxlebenNO
#12RBCharles AlexanderCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2018Josh AllenBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Wyoming
2003Byron LeftwichJAX — GM James Harris · Marshall
1990Andre WareDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Houston
1983Todd BlackledgeKC — GM Jim Schaaf · Penn St.

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