QB · pick 6 — first ever quarterback at #6 (1976)

QB·pick 6

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #6

Richard Todd

Drafted by NYJ · Alabama

1976

QBs drafted at #6 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Herbert (LAC, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a quarterback at #6 a 7.3% chance in 1976.

Quarterback at #6, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 28.6% · 2027 model: 17.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#1DELee Roy SelmonTB
#2DTSteve NiehausSEA
#3RBChuck MuncieNO
#4RBJoe WashingtonLAC
#5CBMike HaynesNE
#7RBMike PruittCLE
#8OTDennis LickCHI
#9RBBubba BeanATL
#10CBJames HunterDET
#11WRBilly BrooksCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2020Justin HerbertLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Oregon
2019Daniel JonesNYG — GM Dave Gettleman · Duke
1994Trent DilferTB — GM Phil Krueger · Fresno St.
1992David KlinglerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Houston
1987Kelly StoufferARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Colorado St.
1981Rich CampbellGB — GM Bart Starr · California

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