QB · pick 58 — first ever quarterback at #58 (1993)

QB·pick 58

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Billy Joe Hobert

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis · Washington

1993

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a quarterback at #58 a 4.9% chance in 1993.

Quarterback at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.5% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

#53LBReggie FreemanNO — GM Jim Finks
#54LBDarrin SmithDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#55DTJohn ParrellaBUF — GM John Butler
#56WRVincent BrisbyNE — GM Sam Jankovich
#57OGJohn GerakMIN — GM Roger Headrick
#59LBSteve TovarCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#60WRLamar ThomasTB — GM Phil Krueger
#61TEChris GedneyCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#62LBAntonio LondonDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#63DETy PartenCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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