QB · pick 57 — first ever quarterback at #57 (1973)

QB·pick 57

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #57

Joe Ferguson

Drafted by BUF · Arkansas

1973

QBs drafted at #57 in NFL history

most recent: Brock Osweiler (DEN, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a quarterback at #57 a 4.0% chance in 1973.

Quarterback at #57, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.6% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#52CChuck BradleyMIA
#53DEHarvey MartinDAL
#54OGPaul HowardDEN
#55SRandy LoganPHI
#56SBrad DusekNE
#58TEBrady, JohnJohn BradyDET
#59OGFred SturtARI
#60OTTim StokesLAR
#61RBBill OldsIND
#62LBRotella, JamieJamie RotellaIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2012Brock OsweilerDEN — GM John Elway · Arizona St.
2008Chad HenneMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Michigan
1985Frank ReichBUF — GM Bill Polian · Maryland

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