QB · pick 53 — first ever quarterback at #53 (1974)

QB·pick 53

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #53

Danny White

Drafted by DAL · Arizona State

1974

QBs drafted at #53 in NFL history

most recent: Jalen Hurts (PHI, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a quarterback at #53 a 4.9% chance in 1974.

Quarterback at #53, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.0% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#48RBCharlie DavisCIN
#49RBDelvin WilliamsSF
#50SBill SimpsonLAR
#51LBMatt BlairMIN
#52CBJeris WhiteMIA
#54WRWayne WheelerCHI
#55DERick DvorakNYG
#56OGGreg HortonCHI
#57LBGlenn RobinsonIND
#58LBGodwin TurkNYJ

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020Jalen HurtsPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Oklahoma
2001Quincy CarterDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Georgia

→ see this cell on the full chart