QB · pick 51 — first ever quarterback at #51 (1970)

QB·pick 51

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #51

Bill Cappleman

Drafted by MIN · Florida State

1970

QBs drafted at #51 in NFL history

most recent: Christian Hackenberg (NYJ, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a quarterback at #51 a 5.3% chance in 1970.

Quarterback at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.2% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#46WRRich CasterNYJ
#47DTJerry SherkCLE
#48RBJohn IsenbargerSF
#49WRMargene AdkinsDAL
#50TETed KoyLV
#52LBClyde WernerKC
#53CBMel BlountPIT
#54WRGeorge FarmerCHI
#55CBTim FoleyMIA
#56LBMike BallouNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Christian HackenbergNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · Penn St.
1989Billy Joe TolliverLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer · Texas Tech
1978Guy BenjaminMIA · Stanford

→ see this cell on the full chart