QB · pick 46 — first ever quarterback at #46 (1992)

QB·pick 46

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #46

Tony Sacca

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Penn St.

1992

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1991, the model gave a quarterback at #46 a 4.4% chance in 1992.

Quarterback at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 1992 draft

#41CBPhillippi SparksNYG — GM George Young
#42LBKurt BarberNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg
#43DTEddie BlakeMIA — GM Don Shula
#44WRCourtney HawkinsTB — GM Phil Krueger
#45RBAmp LeeSF — GM John McVay
#47DEShane CollinsWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#48RBSiran StacyPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#49OTTroy AuzenneCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#50LBEddie RobinsonTEN — GM Mike Holovak
#51DEChuck SmithATL — GM Ken Herock

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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