QB · pick 45 — first ever quarterback at #45 (1973)

QB·pick 45

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #45

Gary Keithley

Drafted by ARI · UTEP

1973

QBs drafted at #45 in NFL history

most recent: Todd Collins (BUF, 1995)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a quarterback at #45 a 4.3% chance in 1973.

Quarterback at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#40LBBrad Van PeltNYG
#41LBWillie HarperSF
#42LBJim YoungbloodLAR
#43TEAlbert ChandlerCIN
#44RBLeon CrosswhiteDET
#46WRGolden RichardsDAL
#47CBJim StienkeCLE
#48DTGary HrivnakCHI
#49LBMonte JohnsonLV
#51DESteve BaumgartnerNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1995Todd CollinsBUF — GM John Butler · Michigan

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