QB · pick 44 — first ever quarterback at #44 (1982)

QB·pick 44

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #44

Oliver Luck

Drafted by TEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · West Virginia

1982

QBs drafted at #44 in NFL history

most recent: Pat White (MIA, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a quarterback at #44 a 4.3% chance in 1982.

Quarterback at #44, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.1% · 2027 model: 2.5%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

#39OGTerry TauschMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#40RBRobert WeathersNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#41LBAndre TippettNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#42CBBobby WatkinsDET — GM Russ Thomas
#43OTJohn MeyerPIT — GM Dick Haley
#45RBJoe MorrisNYG — GM George Young
#46LBCalvin DanielsKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#47TELawrence SampletonPHI — GM Jim Murray
#48QBMatt KoflerBUF — GM Stew Barber
#49CBVernon DeanWAS — GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2009Pat WhiteMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · West Virginia

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