QB · pick 43 — first ever quarterback at #43 (2007)

QB·pick 43

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #43

Drew Stanton

Drafted by DET — GM Matt Millen · Michigan St.

2007

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a quarterback at #43 a 3.4% chance in 2007.

Quarterback at #43, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.2% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#38TEZach MillerLV — GM Al Davis era
#39OGJustin BlalockATL — GM Rich McKay
#40QBJohn BeckMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#41CBChris HoustonATL — GM Rich McKay
#42OTTony UgohIND — GM Bill Polian
#44WRSidney RiceMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#45WRDwayne JarrettCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#46DELaMarr WoodleyPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#47LBDavid HarrisNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#48LBJustin DurantJAX — GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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