QB · pick 4 — first ever quarterback at #4 (1967)

QB·pick 4

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #4

Bob Griese

Drafted by MIA · Purdue

1967 · earliest year in the data window

QBs drafted at #4 in NFL history

most recent: Anthony Richardson (IND, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Quarterback at #4, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 43.2% · 2027 model: 28.3%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#1DTBubba SmithIND
#2RBClint JonesMIN
#3QBSteve SpurrierSF
#5LBGeorge WebsterTEN
#6RBFloyd LittleDEN
#7RBMel FarrDET
#8WRGene WashingtonMIN
#9OGBob HylandGB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Anthony RichardsonIND — GM Chris Ballard · Florida
2004Philip RiversNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi · North Carolina St.
1982Art SchlichterIND — GM Ernie Accorsi · Ohio St.

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