QB · pick 39 — first ever quarterback at #39 (2013)

QB·pick 39

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #39

Geno Smith

Drafted by NYJ — GM John Idzik · West Virginia

2013

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a quarterback at #39 a 4.5% chance in 2013.

Quarterback at #39, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.8% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#34WRJustin HunterTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#35TEZach ErtzPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#36CBDarius SlayDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#37RBGiovani BernardCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#38LBManti Te'oLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#40DETank CarradineSF — GM Trent Baalke
#41WRRobert WoodsBUF — GM Doug Whaley
#42OTMenelik WatsonLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#43CBJohnthan BanksTB — GM Mark Dominik
#44DTKawann ShortCAR — GM Dave Gettleman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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