QB · pick 38 — first ever quarterback at #38 (1984)

QB·pick 38

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #38

Boomer Esiason

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Maryland

1984

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #38 a 4.1% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#33LBMike GuendlingLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#34LBScott RadecicKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#35DEBlaise WinterIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#36LBThomas BensonATL — GM Tom Braatz
#37CJim SweeneyNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#39TEGlenn DennisonNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#40CBVictor ScottDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#41WREric RichardsonBUF — GM Stew Barber
#42DEJumpy GeathersNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#43LBEd WilliamsNE — GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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