QB · pick 35 — first ever quarterback at #35 (2011)

QB·pick 35

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #35

Andy Dalton

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · TCU

2011

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a quarterback at #35 a 4.5% chance in 2011.

Quarterback at #35, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.4% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#30DTMuhammad WilkersonNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#31DECameron HeywardPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#32OTDerek SherrodGB — GM Ted Thompson
#33CBRas-I DowlingNE — GM Bill Belichick
#34SAaron WilliamsBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#36QBColin KaepernickSF — GM Trent Baalke
#37DEJabaal SheardCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#38RBRyan WilliamsARI — GM Rod Graves
#39LBAkeem AyersTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#40LBBruce CarterDAL — GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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